Kairat Almaty vs Mjallby AIF prediction
UEFA Conference LeagueRound League Stage - 4
Kairat Almaty16:30
Thu 26 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Mjallby AIFMost likelyKairat Almaty win · 39%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Kairat Almaty win
Oddbert gives Kairat Almaty a 39% chance of winning.
39%Kairat Almaty
24%Draw
37%Mjallby AIF
In 100 matches like this, Kairat Almaty would win about 39. In the other 61 or so, Kairat Almaty doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Kairat Almaty win 39, Draw 24, Mjallby AIF win 37.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
39%1Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty win
24%XDrawDraw
37%2Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Kairat Almaty (39%), doesn't happen in about 61 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Kairat Almaty
- D1-1ATA
- L1-5PAN
- D1-1RIG
- L0-3AND
- L0-3AND
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Mjallby AIF
- W2-0BBL
- D1-1FI1
- W2-0ICD
- L0-3RBS
- L0-1RBS
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Kairat Almaty
Absence data is not available for this match.
Mjallby AIF
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Kairat Almaty
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.89last 3
- xG against / game
- 2.20last 3
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.4last 8
- Shots
- 11.8last 6
- Shots on target
- 2.3last 10
- Fouls
- 11.3last 6
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Key players
Player data from 6 of 10 matches
- Marc Gual2G 0A6 apps
- Edmilson1G 1A6 apps
- Ismail Bekbolat1G 0A6 apps
Mjallby AIF
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.0last 9
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 9
- xG for / game
- 1.46last 3
- xG against / game
- 0.96last 3
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 9
- BTTS
- 2 / 9
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 9
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.1last 9
- Shots
- 11.7last 7
- Shots on target
- 3.7last 9
- Fouls
- 11.4last 5
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 9
Key players
Player data from 4 of 9 matches
- Jacob Bergström2G 0A4 apps
- Axel Norén1G 0A3 apps
- Abdullah Iqbal0G 1A4 apps
Line movement
Kairat Almaty—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Mjallby AIF—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Kairat Almaty result here; the model's main factors are Attacking xG form (home) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)0.79Expected goals (away)2.38What's at stake (away)0.00What's at stake (home)0.00Pi-rating edge-0.15Expected goals (home)0.50
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.