Kansas City W vs Washington Spirit W prediction
NWSL WomenRound Group Stage
Kansas City W22:00
Sun 25 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Washington Spirit WMost likelyKansas City W win · 46%
Prediction
46%1Kansas City W
23%XDraw
31%2Washington Spirit W
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Kansas City W
- W5-1BFW
- W4-1DSW
- L0-2SDW
- D2-2OPW
- W2-1BFW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Washington Spirit W
- W3-2HDW
- L0-1ACW
- W3-0CRS
- L0-3BLW
- W2-1PTW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Kansas City W
No reported absences.
Washington Spirit W
No reported absences.
Head to head
Kansas City W 2Draws 1Washington Spirit W 4
- WSW 4-0 KCW
- KCW 0-0 WSW
- WSW 0-2 KCW
- KCW 3-0 WSW
- WSW 4-1 KCW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Kansas City W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 9 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 7.0last 9
- Shots
- 15.4last 9
- Shots on target
- 6.0last 9
- Fouls
- 7.3last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 9
Washington Spirit W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.2last 9
- Shots
- 14.9last 9
- Shots on target
- 4.3last 9
- Fouls
- 8.7last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.1last 9
Line movement
Kansas City W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Washington Spirit W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Kansas City W result here, shaped mainly by Expected goals (away) and Expected goals (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)1.14Expected goals (home)1.46Goal correlation0.12
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.