Kazakhstan vs Slovakia prediction
UEFA Nations LeagueRound League C - 6
Kazakhstan16:00
Mon 16 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
SlovakiaMost likelySlovakia win · 58%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Slovakia win
Oddbert gives Slovakia a 58% chance of winning.
20%Kazakhstan
22%Draw
58%Slovakia
In 100 matches like this, Slovakia would win about 58. In the other 42 or so, Slovakia doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Kazakhstan win 20, Draw 22, Slovakia win 58.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
20%1KazakhstanKazakhstan win
22%XDrawDraw
58%2SlovakiaSlovakia win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Kazakhstan meet Slovakia. The model leans toward Slovakia, shaped mainly by Elo difference and Home advantage (Elo points). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Slovakia (58%), doesn't happen in about 42 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Kazakhstan
- D2-2FI
- L1-2MOL
- L1-2SLO
- D1-1FI
- L1-3HUN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Slovakia
- W4-0MOL
- D1-1FI
- W2-1KAZ
- W2-0MOL
- D2-2MON
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Kazakhstan
Absence data is not available for this match.
Slovakia
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Kazakhstan 2Draws 0Slovakia 1
- SLO 2-1 KAZ
- KAZ 2-1 SLO
- SLO 0-1 KAZ
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Kazakhstan
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Key players
Player data from 8 of 10 matches
- Galymzhan Kenzhebek2G 1A7 apps
- Nuraly Alip2G 0A8 apps
- Sergey Maliy2G 0A3 apps
Slovakia
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Key players
Player data from 7 of 10 matches
- Lukáš Haraslín2G 2A6 apps
- D. Hancko2G 1A7 apps
- D. Strelec2G 0A7 apps
Line movement
Kazakhstan—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Slovakia—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Slovakia, shaped mainly by Elo difference and Home advantage (Elo points). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference-285Home advantage (Elo points)80.0
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.