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Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees.

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Every prediction is logged before kick-off and scored after the final whistle.© 2026 Oddbert. No affiliate links. No betting accepted. · Weather data from OpenWeather (ODbL).

Lask Linz vs Fenerbahçe prediction

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League·Round League Stage - 6
Lask LinzLask Linz
21:00
Wed 9 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe

Most likelyLask Linz win · 47%

PredictionOddsContextMovementDetails

Oddbert's view

Most likely: Lask Linz win

Oddbert gives Lask Linz a 47% chance of winning.

47%Lask Linz
23%Draw
30%Fenerbahçe

In 100 matches like this, Lask Linz would win about 47. In the other 53 or so, Lask Linz doesn't win.

Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Lask Linz win 47, Draw 23, Fenerbahçe win 30.

  • Lask Linz win47
  • Draw23
  • Fenerbahçe win30

Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.

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Prediction

47%1Lask LinzLask Linz win
23%XDrawDraw
30%2FenerbahçeFenerbahçe win

No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.

These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes

Prediction as of 14 Nov 2026

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Match previewSummary

Lask Linz meet Fenerbahçe. The model leans toward Lask Linz, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Pi-rating edge. See the probability bar above for the exact figures.

Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.

Odds comparisonBookmaker odds

Odds include the bookmaker's margin.

Words explained:

No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet

We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).

Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.

Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.

Stake sizer

No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.

Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.

Thinking of betting on this match?18+Help and breaks

Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.

Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.

At the bookmaker

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Even the most likely result, a win for Lask Linz (47%), doesn't happen in about 53 of 100 matches like this.

18+Help and breaks

  • StopSpillet: free, anonymous advice on 70 22 28 25
  • ROFUS: exclude yourself from all Danish gambling
  • Check your gambling habits
  • Odds are hidden.

Match context

Strength-adjusted form

Lask Linz

  1. W=4-0SB
  2. W↑3-2SC
  3. L↑3-6LIV
  4. L↑0-1AAF
  5. W↑5-1CEL

↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent

Fenerbahçe

  1. W↑3-2LIV
  2. D↓2-2SP
  3. L↑0-6AV
  4. D↑1-1AR
  5. W↑2-1LYO

↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent

Injuries & absences

Lask Linz

Absence data is not available for this match.

Fenerbahçe

Absence data is not available for this match.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Recent form

Recent form — context only, not a tip.

Lask Linz

Goals

Scored / game
1.6last 10
Conceded / game
2.3last 10
xG for / game
1.50last 8
xG against / game
2.03last 8
Clean sheets
2 / 10
BTTS
5 / 10
Over 2.5
7 / 10

Match stats

Corners
4.1last 10
Shots
16.5last 10
Shots on target
5.2last 10
Fouls
11.9last 10
Yellow cards
2.0last 10

Key players

  • R. Ljubičić3G 1A6 apps
  • S. Adeniran3G 1A5 apps
  • F. Flecker3G 0A8 apps

Fenerbahçe

Goals

Scored / game
1.4last 10
Conceded / game
1.4last 10
xG for / game
1.59last 4
xG against / game
1.67last 4
Clean sheets
3 / 10
BTTS
6 / 10
Over 2.5
4 / 10

Match stats

Corners
5.1last 10
Shots
14.3last 10
Shots on target
5.5last 10
Fouls
12.6last 10
Yellow cards
2.3last 10

Key players

  • M. Greenwood4G 2A10 apps
  • Anderson Talisca4G 0A6 apps
  • A. Brown3G 1A8 apps

Line movement

Lask Linz—

No line movement recorded yet

Draw—

No line movement recorded yet

Fenerbahçe—

No line movement recorded yet

Under the hood

How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.

Why this prediction

ExplanationSummary

The model leans toward Lask Linz, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Pi-rating edge. This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.

Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.

How we make these predictions
Top model factors
Attacking xG form (home)4.5427%Pi-rating edge-0.2419%What's at stake (home)0.0012%Defensive xG form (away)2.7811%Home advantage (team-tuned)91.39%Away form (away)7.208%

The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.