Latvia vs Armenia prediction
UEFA Nations LeagueRound League C - 6
Latvia15:00
Sun 15 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
ArmeniaMost likelyLatvia win · 40%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Latvia win
Oddbert gives Latvia a 40% chance of winning.
40%Latvia
24%Draw
36%Armenia
In 100 matches like this, Latvia would win about 40. In the other 60 or so, Latvia doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Latvia win 40, Draw 24, Armenia win 36.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
40%1LatviaLatvia win
24%XDrawDraw
36%2ArmeniaArmenia win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
Latvia meet Armenia. The model leans only slightly toward Latvia in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by International Elo (home) and Home advantage (Elo points). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Latvia (40%), doesn't happen in about 60 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Latvia
- L1-2CYP
- L1-2MON
- D0-0CYP
- L0-2ARM
- W1-0GIB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Armenia
- D0-0MON
- L0-2CYP
- L2-3MON
- W2-0LAT
- D1-1MOL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Latvia
Absence data is not available for this match.
Armenia
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Latvia 0Draws 0Armenia 3
- ARM 2-0 LAT
- LAT 1-2 ARM
- ARM 4-1 LAT
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Latvia
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Key players
Player data from 9 of 10 matches
- Vladislavs Gutkovskis3G 1A9 apps
- Antonijs Černomordijs1G 0A7 apps
- Dmitrijs Zelenkovs1G 0A9 apps
Armenia
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.0last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Key players
Player data from 7 of 10 matches
- Eduard Spertsyan2G 1A7 apps
- Georgiy Harutyunyan1G 1A5 apps
- A. Serobyan1G 0A5 apps
Line movement
Latvia—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Armenia—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Latvia in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by International Elo (home) and Home advantage (Elo points). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
International Elo (home)1233Home advantage (Elo points)80.0
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.