Lecce vs Genoa prediction
Serie ARound 10
Lecce18:00
Sun 1 Nov
Prediction T-24h
GenoaMost likelyGenoa win · 40%
Prediction
33%1Lecce
27%XDraw
40%2Genoa
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Lecce | Genoa |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Lecce
- L1-2BOL
- L0-3AM
- W3-2MON
- L0-1CAG
- L0-4AR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Genoa
- W2-1FIO
- L1-2PAR
- D1-1FRO
- L1-4COM
- L0-1LAZ
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Lecce
No reported absences.
Genoa
No reported absences.
Head to head
Lecce 1Draws 2Genoa 1
- LEC 1-0 GEN
- GEN 0-0 LEC
- GEN 2-1 LEC
- LEC 0-0 GEN
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Lecce
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.88last 9
- xG against / game
- 2.07last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.8last 10
- Shots
- 9.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.9last 10
- Fouls
- 12.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 10
Genoa
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.91last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.44last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.3last 10
- Shots
- 10.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 2.7last 10
- Fouls
- 9.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 9
Line movement
Lecce—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Genoa—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Genoa result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Away form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge-0.20Away form (away)2.26Defensive xG form (home)2.28Rest-days edge-1.00What's at stake (home)0.10Home form (home)4.35
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.