Lens vs Bodo/Glimt prediction
UEFA Champions LeagueRound League Stage - 6
Lens21:00
Wed 9 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Bodo/GlimtMost likelyBodo/Glimt win · 49%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Bodo/Glimt win
Oddbert gives Bodo/Glimt a 49% chance of winning.
31%Lens
20%Draw
49%Bodo/Glimt
In 100 matches like this, Bodo/Glimt would win about 49. In the other 51 or so, Bodo/Glimt doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Lens win 31, Draw 20, Bodo/Glimt win 49.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
31%1LensLens win
20%XDrawDraw
49%2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
Lens meet Bodo/Glimt. The model leans toward Bodo/Glimt, shaped mainly by Expected goals (away) and Attacking xG form (away). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
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Even the most likely result, a win for Bodo/Glimt (49%), doesn't happen in about 51 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Lens
- L1-2MAR
- L1-9COM
- L0-1LIL
- W2-1PF
- L0-3CBK
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Bodo/Glimt
- D0-0LIL
- L3-4NAP
- W1-0BD
- L0-5BM
- W3-0NN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Lens
Absence data is not available for this match.
Bodo/Glimt
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Lens
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.37last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.93last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.6last 10
- Shots
- 13.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.8last 10
- Fouls
- 12.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
Key players
- F. Thauvin2G 7A10 apps
- R. Aguilar2G 1A10 apps
- M. Udol2G 0A9 apps
Bodo/Glimt
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.31last 6
- xG against / game
- 1.67last 6
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.9last 10
- Shots
- 11.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.6last 10
- Fouls
- 10.1last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 10
Key players
Player data from 9 of 10 matches
- J. Hauge2G 4A9 apps
- S. Fet3G 2A9 apps
- A. Helmersen3G 1A9 apps
Line movement
Lens—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Bodo/Glimt—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Bodo/Glimt, shaped mainly by Expected goals (away) and Attacking xG form (away). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)2.66Attacking xG form (away)2.86Home form (home)3.93League id2.00What's at stake (home)0.00Pi-rating edge0.09
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.