Lens W vs Montpellier W prediction
Feminine Division 1WomenRound 10
Lens W17:00
Sat 21 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Montpellier WMost likelyMontpellier W win · 47%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Montpellier W win
Oddbert gives Montpellier W a 47% chance of winning.
24%Lens W
29%Draw
47%Montpellier W
In 100 matches like this, Montpellier W would win about 47. In the other 53 or so, Montpellier W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Lens W win 24, Draw 29, Montpellier W win 47.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
24%1Lens WLens W win
29%XDrawDraw
47%2Montpellier WMontpellier W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Montpellier W (47%), doesn't happen in about 53 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Lens W
- L1-7LW
- D1-1FF9
- D0-0LHW
- L1-3SW
- L1-4PFW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Montpellier W
- L0-5PFW
- L2-5LW
- L0-1PSG
- D1-1LHW
- D1-1NW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Lens W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Montpellier W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Lens W 1Draws 0Montpellier W 1
- LW 2-1 MW
- MW 3-1 LW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Lens W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.57last 4
- xG against / game
- 3.07last 4
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.8last 9
- Shots
- 9.3last 9
- Shots on target
- 2.2last 9
- Fouls
- 9.7last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 9
Key players
Player data from 9 of 10 matches
- L. Archier0G 3A9 apps
- L. Notel2G 0A8 apps
- E. Smaali1G 0A9 apps
Montpellier W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.48last 4
- xG against / game
- 1.39last 4
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.4last 9
- Shots
- 8.7last 9
- Shots on target
- 3.8last 9
- Fouls
- 11.6last 8
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 9
Key players
Player data from 8 of 10 matches
- A. Fontaine3G 0A7 apps
- B. Kharafi2G 1A6 apps
- J. Rouquet2G 0A4 apps
Line movement
Lens W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Montpellier W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Montpellier W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (away) and Expected goals (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)1.62Expected goals (home)1.12Goal correlation-0.19
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.