Levante vs Atletico Madrid prediction
La LigaRound 11Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante14:00
Sat 31 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Atletico MadridMost likelyAtletico Madrid win · 42%
Prediction
31%1Levante
27%XDraw
42%2Atletico Madrid
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Levante | Atletico Madrid |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Levante
- D3-3SEV
- L1-3VIL
- L2-4BAR
- D0-0MAL
- W5-2RB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Atletico Madrid
- W2-1ALA
- W2-1RM
- W4-0OSA
- W3-0RS
- L1-2LIV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Levante
No reported absences.
Atletico Madrid
No reported absences.
Head to head
Levante 0Draws 1Atletico Madrid 1
- LEV 0-0 AM
- AM 3-1 LEV
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Levante
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.62last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.91last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 12.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.6last 10
- Fouls
- 9.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 10
Key players
- Dela1G 0A1 apps
- IfeanyiIfeanyi Ndukwe1G 0A1 apps
- Iván Romero1G 0A1 apps
Atletico Madrid
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.62last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.23last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.9last 10
- Shots
- 15.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.0last 10
- Fouls
- 12.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 10
Venue
- Venue
- Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
Line movement
Levante—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Atletico Madrid—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Atletico Madrid result here, shaped mainly by Rest-days edge and Recent form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Rest-days edge19.9Recent form (away)9.07Attacking xG form (away)2.29Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-60.3What's at stake (away)0.05Defensive xG form (away)0.76
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.