Levante vs Elche prediction
La LigaRound 13
Levante21:00
Mon 23 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
ElcheMost likelyLevante win · 47%
Best price2.20 Marathonbet
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Levante win
Oddbert gives Levante a 47% chance of winning.
47%Levante
26%Draw
27%Elche
In 100 matches like this, Levante would win about 47. In the other 53 or so, Levante doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Levante win 47, Draw 26, Elche win 27.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
47%1LevanteLevante winmarket 44%
26%XDrawDrawmarket 26%
27%2ElcheElche winmarket 30%
Our model vs market
Levante +2.7 ppDraw +0.3 ppElche -3.0 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (median of 6 books) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Levante meet Elche. The model leans toward Levante, shaped mainly by What's at stake (home) and What's at stake (away). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | Levantepays 2% more than the typical book | Drawpays 2% more than the typical book | Elchepays 2% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.65 | 3.15best |
| Marathonbet | 2.20best | 3.72best | 3.12 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Levante at 2.20 (Marathonbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
Not sized — the model behind this prediction has not beaten the closing market out-of-time (see Transparency). We don't size stakes off an edge we don't claim to have.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
- Only bookmakers with a Danish licence may offer betting in Denmark.
- You must be 18+ and register with MitID.
- You must set a deposit limit. Choose an amount you can afford to lose.
Even the most likely result, a win for Levante (47%), doesn't happen in about 53 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Levante
- D0-0CV
- L0-2AM
- L1-2RS
- W3-1AC
- D1-1DLC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Elche
- L0-2RB
- L0-1VAL
- W3-0RV
- D0-0VIL
- D0-0CV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Levante
Absence data is not available for this match.
Elche
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Levante 1Draws 0Elche 1
- LEV 3-2 ELC
- ELC 2-0 LEV
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Levante
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.26last 10
- xG against / game
- 2.18last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.6last 10
- Shots
- 12.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.6last 10
- Fouls
- 10.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- Brugui5G 1A10 apps
- Iván Romero3G 0A10 apps
- Dela2G 0A8 apps
Elche
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.26last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.65last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 10
- Shots
- 12.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.3last 10
- Fouls
- 12.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.9last 10
Key players
- Fer Niño6G 0A10 apps
- Tete Morente0G 3A10 apps
- Germán Valera2G 0A10 apps
Line movement
Levante—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Elche—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Levante, shaped mainly by What's at stake (home) and What's at stake (away). See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)0.83Home advantage (team-tuned)104Expected goals (home)1.71What's at stake (away)0.08Expected goals (away)1.26Defensive xG form (away)1.43
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.