Levante vs Sevilla prediction
La LigaRound 8Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante21:00
Mon 12 Oct
Prediction T-24h
SevillaMost likelyLevante win · 38%
Prediction
38%1Levantemarket 35%
30%XDrawmarket 30%
32%2Sevillamarket 35%
Levante+3.0 ppDraw+0.2 ppSevilla-3.2 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (sharp books) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Levantepays 4% more than the typical book | Drawpays 5% more than the typical book | Sevillapays 5% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.75 |
| Betvictor | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.76 | 3.30 | 2.73 |
| Onexbet | 2.80best | 3.35best | 2.77 |
| Pinnacle | 2.77 | 3.17 | 2.85best |
| Sbo | 2.65 | 2.93 | 2.43 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
The best listed price is stale, so we size nothing against it.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Levante
- L1-3VIL
- L2-4BAR
- D0-0MAL
- W5-2RB
- D0-0OSA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Sevilla
- L1-3BAR
- W1-0DLC
- W1-0VAL
- D1-1ESP
- L1-3AM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Levante
No reported absences.
Sevilla
No reported absences.
Head to head
Levante 2Draws 0Sevilla 0
- LEV 2-0 SEV
- SEV 0-3 LEV
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Levante
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.75last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.71last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 10
- Shots
- 14.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 9.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 10
Sevilla
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.85last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.24last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.4last 10
- Shots
- 11.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.2last 10
- Fouls
- 14.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.6last 10
Referee profile
- Referee
- Adrian Cordero Vega
- Yellows / game
- 5.0
- Matches officiated
- 1
Venue
- Venue
- Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
Line movement
Levante35%
Mon 12 Oct-0.2 pp
Draw30%
Mon 12 Oct+1.0 pp
Sevilla35%
Mon 12 Oct-0.8 pp
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Levante result here, shaped mainly by Fixture congestion (home) and Attacking xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Fixture congestion (home)0.00Attacking xG form (away)0.70Defensive xG form (away)1.17Defensive xG form (home)2.19Home form (home)8.85Away form (away)6.62
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.