Lithuania vs Liechtenstein prediction
UEFA Nations LeagueRound League D - 6
Lithuania18:00
Mon 16 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
LiechtensteinMost likelyLithuania win · 72%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Lithuania win
Oddbert gives Lithuania a 72% chance of winning.
72%Lithuania
18%Draw
10%Liechtenstein
In 100 matches like this, Lithuania would win about 72. In the other 28 or so, Lithuania doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Lithuania win 72, Draw 18, Liechtenstein win 10.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
72%1LithuaniaLithuania win
18%XDrawDraw
10%2LiechtensteinLiechtenstein win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
Lithuania meet Liechtenstein. The model leans toward Lithuania, shaped mainly by International Elo (away) and Home advantage (Elo points). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
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Even the most likely result, a win for Lithuania (72%), doesn't happen in about 28 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Lithuania
- L0-1AZE
- W3-0AND
- D1-1AZE
- W2-0LIE
- L0-2GEO
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Liechtenstein
- L0-2GIB
- D0-0AZE
- L0-2MAL
- L0-2LIT
- L0-2CYP
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Lithuania
Absence data is not available for this match.
Liechtenstein
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Lithuania 1Draws 0Liechtenstein 0
- LIE 0-2 LIT
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Lithuania
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 2 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Key players
Player data from 6 of 10 matches
- A. Kučys1G 1A3 apps
- P. Širvys1G 0A4 apps
- Artur Dolznikov1G 0A4 apps
Liechtenstein
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.4last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 1 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Line movement
Lithuania—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Liechtenstein—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Lithuania, shaped mainly by International Elo (away) and Home advantage (Elo points). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
International Elo (away)933Home advantage (Elo points)80.0
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.