Liverpool vs Sunderland prediction
Premier LeagueRound 13Anfield
Liverpool21:00
Wed 2 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
SunderlandMost likelyLiverpool win · 57%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Liverpool win
Oddbert gives Liverpool a 57% chance of winning.
57%Liverpool
24%Draw
19%Sunderland
In 100 matches like this, Liverpool would win about 57. In the other 43 or so, Liverpool doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Liverpool win 57, Draw 24, Sunderland win 19.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
57%1LiverpoolLiverpool win
24%XDrawDraw
19%2SunderlandSunderland win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Liverpool meet Sunderland. The model leans toward Liverpool, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Expected goals (home). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Liverpool (57%), doesn't happen in about 43 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Liverpool
- W3-1CP
- L2-3FEN
- L0-1ARS
- W2-0BRI
- W4-3VIL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Sunderland
- W1-0CHE
- L0-2DZ
- L1-3COV
- D0-0LEE
- D1-1LP
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Liverpool
Absence data is not available for this match.
Sunderland
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Liverpool 1Draws 1Sunderland 0
- SUN 0-1 LIV
- LIV 1-1 SUN
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Liverpool
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.76last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.32last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 7.0last 10
- Shots
- 18.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.1last 10
- Fouls
- 13.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 10
Key players
- B. Barcola3G 3A10 apps
- A. Isak5G 0A8 apps
- F. Wirtz2G 3A10 apps
Sunderland
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.88last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.56last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.7last 10
- Shots
- 15.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.8last 10
- Fouls
- 12.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- E. Le Fée3G 1A10 apps
- B. Brobbey3G 0A6 apps
- N. Angulo0G 2A9 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Anfield, Liverpool
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 61,276
Line movement
Liverpool—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Sunderland—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Liverpool, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Expected goals (home). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.83Expected goals (home)1.89Attacking xG form (home)1.77What's at stake (away)0.15Fixture congestion (home)0.00Away form (away)2.83
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.