London City Lionesses W vs Crystal Palace W prediction
FA WSLWomenRound 11Copperjax Community Stadium
London City Lionesses W15:00
Sun 22 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Crystal Palace WMost likelyLondon City Lionesses W win · 82%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: London City Lionesses W win
Oddbert gives London City Lionesses W a 82% chance of winning.
82%London City Lionesses W
11%Draw
7%Crystal Palace W
In 100 matches like this, London City Lionesses W would win about 82. In the other 18 or so, London City Lionesses W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: London City Lionesses W win 82, Draw 11, Crystal Palace W win 7.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
82%1London City Lionesses WLondon City Lionesses W win
11%XDrawDraw
7%2Crystal Palace WCrystal Palace W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Nov 2026
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for London City Lionesses W (82%), doesn't happen in about 18 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
London City Lionesses W
- W4-1BCW
- L1-2MCW
- D2-2LW
- W2-1EW
- W6-1THW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Crystal Palace W
- W3-2CAW
- L1-2BW
- L1-3CW
- L0-1WHW
- D1-1AVW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
London City Lionesses W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Crystal Palace W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
London City Lionesses W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.90last 5
- xG against / game
- 0.95last 5
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 9 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.6last 9
- Shots
- 17.2last 9
- Shots on target
- 6.3last 9
- Fouls
- 11.1last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 9
Key players
Player data from 9 of 10 matches
- K. Diani4G 3A8 apps
- D. van de Donk3G 4A9 apps
- D. Cascarino3G 2A7 apps
Crystal Palace W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.10last 4
- xG against / game
- 2.34last 4
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.8last 9
- Shots
- 8.7last 9
- Shots on target
- 2.9last 9
- Fouls
- 8.9last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 9
Key players
Player data from 9 of 10 matches
- L. Lloyd-Smith3G 1A9 apps
- B. England2G 0A8 apps
- M. Bartrip1G 0A9 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Copperjax Community Stadium, London
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 5,150
Line movement
London City Lionesses W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Crystal Palace W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a London City Lionesses W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)3.25Expected goals (away)0.88Goal correlation-0.06
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.