Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction
Ligue 1Round 9
Lorient20:45
Sat 31 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Stade Brestois 29Most likelyLorient win · 48%
Prediction
48%1Lorient
28%XDraw
24%2Stade Brestois 29
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Lorient | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Lorient
- W1-0PF
- L1-2LM
- D2-2TOU
- W1-0LEN
- L1-2ET
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Stade Brestois 29
- W5-1ANG
- L1-2AUX
- L0-1PSG
- W2-1LH
- D2-2TOU
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Lorient
No reported absences.
Stade Brestois 29
No reported absences.
Head to head
Lorient 0Draws 1Stade Brestois 29 1
- SB2 2-0 LOR
- LOR 3-3 SB2
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Lorient
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.31last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.36last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.5last 10
- Shots
- 10.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.9last 10
- Fouls
- 9.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 9
Stade Brestois 29
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.92last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.34last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.8last 10
- Shots
- 16.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.3last 10
- Fouls
- 11.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.0last 9
Line movement
Lorient—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Stade Brestois 29—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Lorient result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (away) and Home advantage (team-tuned). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (away)2.18Home advantage (team-tuned)104Away form (away)3.19Fixture congestion (home)0.00Recent form (home)5.28Pi-rating edge0.38
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.