Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction
SuperligaRound 11
Lyngby14:00
Sun 18 Oct
Prediction T-24h
FC NordsjaellandMost likelyFC Nordsjaelland win · 50%
Best price1.91 William Hill
Prediction
25%1Lyngbymarket 26%
25%XDrawmarket 23%
50%2FC Nordsjaellandmarket 51%
Lyngby-0.7 ppDraw+1.3 ppFC Nordsjaelland-0.6 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Lyngbypays 7% more than the typical book | Drawpays 4% more than the typical book | FC Nordsjaellandpays 2% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 3.75best | 4.00 | 1.87 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.90 |
| Betvictor | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.83 |
| Marathonbet | 3.64 | 3.90 | 1.84 |
| Onexbet | 3.63 | 3.90 | 1.86 |
| Pinnacle | 3.68 | 4.04best | 1.88 |
| Sbo | 3.10 | 3.36 | 1.89 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.91best |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — FC Nordsjaelland at 1.91 (William Hill).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Lyngby
- L2-5BRO
- L0-4SIL
- D1-1SON
- W2-0VIB
- D1-1ODE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FC Nordsjaelland
- D0-0ODE
- L1-4VIB
- W2-0AAR
- D2-2FM
- L0-2FC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Lyngby
No reported absences.
FC Nordsjaelland
No reported absences.
Head to head
Lyngby 1Draws 1FC Nordsjaelland 0
- LYN 1-0 FN
- FN 1-1 LYN
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Lyngby
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.67last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.49last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.6last 10
- Shots
- 14.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 15.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
FC Nordsjaelland
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.30last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.33last 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.9last 10
- Shots
- 17.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.1last 10
- Fouls
- 10.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 10
Line movement
Lyngby—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
FC Nordsjaelland—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a FC Nordsjaelland result here, shaped mainly by Rest-days edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Rest-days edge-1.87Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-202Pi-rating edge-0.38Defensive xG form (away)1.57What's at stake (away)0.22Recent form (home)2.54
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.