Lyon vs Angers prediction
Ligue 1Round 9
Lyon20:45
Sat 31 Oct
Prediction T-24h
AngersMost likelyLyon win · 63%
Prediction
63%1Lyon
24%XDraw
13%2Angers
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Lyon | Angers |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Lyon
- L1-2LEN
- W4-0REN
- D0-0PF
- W3-1AUX
- D1-1LH
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Angers
- L1-5SB2
- W2-0ET
- D0-0LH
- L1-2REN
- W3-1AUX
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Lyon
No reported absences.
Angers
No reported absences.
Head to head
Lyon 3Draws 1Angers 0
- ANG 0-0 LYO
- LYO 1-0 ANG
- LYO 2-0 ANG
- ANG 0-3 LYO
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Lyon
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.66last 6
- xG against / game
- 1.20last 6
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 10
- Shots
- 13.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.6last 10
- Fouls
- 12.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 10
Angers
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.37last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.92last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.7last 10
- Shots
- 11.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 2.8last 10
- Fouls
- 10.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 10
Line movement
Lyon—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Angers—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Lyon result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.92Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)310Attacking xG form (home)1.86Attacking xG form (away)1.50Fixture congestion (home)0.00Away form (away)3.61
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.