Madrid CFF W vs Edf Logrono W prediction
Primera División FemeninaWomenRound 11Estadio Fernando Torres
Madrid CFF W12:00
Sun 15 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Edf Logrono WMost likelyMadrid CFF W win · 43%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Madrid CFF W win
Oddbert gives Madrid CFF W a 43% chance of winning.
43%Madrid CFF W
22%Draw
35%Edf Logrono W
In 100 matches like this, Madrid CFF W would win about 43. In the other 57 or so, Madrid CFF W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Madrid CFF W win 43, Draw 22, Edf Logrono W win 35.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
43%1Madrid CFF WMadrid CFF W win
22%XDrawDraw
35%2Edf Logrono WEdf Logrono W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
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Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Madrid CFF W (43%), doesn't happen in about 57 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Madrid CFF W
- L1-5BW
- W2-1DDL
- D2-2EW
- L0-4AMW
- D2-2ACW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Edf Logrono W
- D2-2SW
- L1-2EW
- W1-0FLB
- L2-3GRA
- L1-2GTW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Madrid CFF W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Edf Logrono W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Madrid CFF W 1Draws 0Edf Logrono W 1
- ELW 3-0 MCW
- MCW 1-0 ELW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Madrid CFF W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.1last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Edf Logrono W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Venue
- Venue
- Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 7,500
Line movement
Madrid CFF W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Edf Logrono W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Madrid CFF W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)1.71Expected goals (away)1.53Goal correlation0.04
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.