Mainz 05 W vs Nürnberg W prediction
Frauen BundesligaWomenRound 11
Mainz 05 W18:30
Sun 22 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Nürnberg WMost likelyNürnberg W win · 75%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Nürnberg W win
Oddbert gives Nürnberg W a 75% chance of winning.
10%Mainz 05 W
15%Draw
75%Nürnberg W
In 100 matches like this, Nürnberg W would win about 75. In the other 25 or so, Nürnberg W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Mainz 05 W win 10, Draw 15, Nürnberg W win 75.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
10%1Mainz 05 WMainz 05 W win
15%XDrawDraw
75%2Nürnberg WNürnberg W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Nov 2026
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Nürnberg W (75%), doesn't happen in about 25 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Mainz 05 W
- L1-3SW
- L1-31HW
- L0-5VWW
- L0-5RLW
- L2-3EFW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Nürnberg W
- W4-0SFW
- W2-0BLW
- L1-2UBW
- L1-21HW
- L1-5HSW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Mainz 05 W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Nürnberg W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Mainz 05 W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.6last 9
- Conceded / game
- 3.3last 9
- xG for / game
- 0.60last 4
- xG against / game
- 2.12last 4
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 9
- BTTS
- 4 / 9
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 9
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.6last 8
- Shots
- 10.1last 8
- Shots on target
- 3.2last 8
- Fouls
- 10.6last 8
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 7
Key players
Player data from 8 of 9 matches
- N. Anstatt1G 0A6 apps
- V. Kats1G 0A8 apps
- K. Bathmann1G 0A7 apps
Nürnberg W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.70last 3
- xG against / game
- 1.59last 3
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 7
- Shots
- 12.7last 7
- Shots on target
- 5.7last 7
- Fouls
- 16.3last 7
- Yellow cards
- 2.6last 7
Key players
Player data from 7 of 10 matches
- E. Papai4G 1A7 apps
- F. Proniez4G 0A7 apps
- L. Lapassouse1G 2A7 apps
Line movement
Mainz 05 W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Nürnberg W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Nürnberg W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (away) and Expected goals (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)2.65Expected goals (home)0.90Goal correlation-0.02
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.