Manchester City W vs Tottenham Hotspur W prediction
FA WSLWomenRound 11Academy Stadium
Manchester City W15:00
Sun 22 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Tottenham Hotspur WMost likelyManchester City W win · 76%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Manchester City W win
Oddbert gives Manchester City W a 76% chance of winning.
76%Manchester City W
13%Draw
11%Tottenham Hotspur W
In 100 matches like this, Manchester City W would win about 76. In the other 24 or so, Manchester City W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Manchester City W win 76, Draw 13, Tottenham Hotspur W win 11.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
76%1Manchester City WManchester City W win
13%XDrawDraw
11%2Tottenham Hotspur WTottenham Hotspur W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Manchester City W (76%), doesn't happen in about 24 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Manchester City W
- W4-1IMW
- W5-0WHW
- W2-1LCL
- D1-1PSG
- D1-1MUW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Tottenham Hotspur W
- W2-1BW
- W4-1BCW
- L1-2AW
- L2-6CW
- L1-6LCL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Manchester City W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Tottenham Hotspur W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Manchester City W 6Draws 0Tottenham Hotspur W 0
- MCW 5-2 THW
- THW 1-5 MCW
- THW 1-2 MCW
- MCW 4-0 THW
- THW 0-2 MCW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Manchester City W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.17last 6
- xG against / game
- 1.36last 6
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.2last 10
- Shots
- 14.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.9last 10
- Fouls
- 8.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.0last 10
Key players
Player data from 6 of 10 matches
- K. Shaw8G 0A6 apps
- L. Hemp3G 5A5 apps
- A. Fujino1G 2A6 apps
Tottenham Hotspur W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.43last 4
- xG against / game
- 1.55last 4
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.6last 9
- Shots
- 20.3last 9
- Shots on target
- 6.9last 9
- Fouls
- 13.6last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 9
Key players
Player data from 9 of 10 matches
- V. Pelova6G 3A9 apps
- S. Gaupset4G 3A9 apps
- O. Holdt5G 1A9 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Academy Stadium, Manchester
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 7,000
Line movement
Manchester City W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Tottenham Hotspur W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Manchester City W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)3.61Expected goals (away)1.49Goal correlation-0.06
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.