Manchester United vs Brentford prediction
Premier LeagueRound 12Old Trafford
Manchester United16:00
Sat 28 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
BrentfordMost likelyManchester United win · 45%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Manchester United win
Oddbert gives Manchester United a 45% chance of winning.
45%Manchester United
26%Draw
29%Brentford
In 100 matches like this, Manchester United would win about 45. In the other 55 or so, Manchester United doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Manchester United win 45, Draw 26, Brentford win 29.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
45%1Manchester UnitedManchester United win
26%XDrawDraw
29%2BrentfordBrentford win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Manchester United meet Brentford. The model leans only slightly toward Manchester United in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and League id. See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Manchester United (45%), doesn't happen in about 55 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Manchester United
- D4-4AV
- W3-2AR
- L0-2CHE
- L0-3BOU
- L1-4COM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Brentford
- L0-2BRI
- W2-0NF
- D1-1HC
- L1-2LIV
- D2-2AV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Manchester United
Absence data is not available for this match.
Brentford
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Manchester United 2Draws 0Brentford 2
- MU 2-1 BRE
- BRE 3-1 MU
- BRE 4-3 MU
- MU 2-1 BRE
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Manchester United
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.50last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.83last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.8last 10
- Shots
- 16.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 10
- Fouls
- 12.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Key players
- Matheus Cunha3G 1A10 apps
- Bruno Fernandes2G 1A9 apps
- P. Dorgu1G 2A3 apps
Brentford
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.51last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.47last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.9last 10
- Shots
- 13.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.6last 10
- Fouls
- 12.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 10
Key players
- Thiago2G 2A10 apps
- K. Schade3G 0A10 apps
- K. Lewis-Potter2G 1A10 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Old Trafford, Manchester
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 76,212
Line movement
Manchester United—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Brentford—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Manchester United in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and League id. This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)1.91League id39.0Defensive xG form (away)1.68What's at stake (home)0.06Defensive xG form (home)2.18What's at stake (away)0.02
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.