Millwall vs Burnley prediction
ChampionshipRound 18The Den
Millwall16:00
Sat 28 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
BurnleyMost likelyMillwall win · 49%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Millwall win
Oddbert gives Millwall a 49% chance of winning.
49%Millwall
24%Draw
27%Burnley
In 100 matches like this, Millwall would win about 49. In the other 51 or so, Millwall doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Millwall win 49, Draw 24, Burnley win 27.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
49%1MillwallMillwall win
24%XDrawDraw
27%2BurnleyBurnley win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Millwall (49%), doesn't happen in about 51 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Millwall
- L0-3WB
- L0-3BIR
- W4-1DER
- L1-2POR
- D2-2LIN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Burnley
- L4-5CAR
- D1-1QPR
- D0-0POR
- L1-4LIN
- L1-2WOL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Millwall
Absence data is not available for this match.
Burnley
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Millwall 1Draws 0Burnley 1
- BUR 3-1 MIL
- MIL 1-0 BUR
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Millwall
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.66last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.43last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 10
- Shots
- 13.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 10
- Fouls
- 12.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.4last 10
Key players
- L. Dykes2G 2A10 apps
- C. Neghli2G 2A10 apps
- K. Lisbie3G 0A8 apps
Burnley
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.43last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.94last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.3last 10
- Shots
- 13.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.5last 10
- Fouls
- 9.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- L. Ramazani4G 1A10 apps
- Lucas Pires0G 5A10 apps
- Z. Amdouni3G 0A5 apps
Venue
- Venue
- The Den, London
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 20,146
Line movement
Millwall—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Burnley—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Millwall result here; the model's main factors are Attacking xG form (home) and Away form (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)1.67Away form (away)2.54Attacking xG form (away)1.53Recent form (home)2.20Expected goals (away)1.33What's at stake (away)0.13
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.