Millwall vs Sheffield Utd prediction
ChampionshipRound 20The Den
Millwall20:45
Tue 8 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Sheffield UtdMost likelyMillwall win · 42%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Millwall win
Oddbert gives Millwall a 42% chance of winning.
42%Millwall
21%Draw
37%Sheffield Utd
In 100 matches like this, Millwall would win about 42. In the other 58 or so, Millwall doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Millwall win 42, Draw 21, Sheffield Utd win 37.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
42%1MillwallMillwall win
21%XDrawDraw
37%2Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Millwall (42%), doesn't happen in about 58 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Millwall
- L0-3WB
- L0-3BIR
- W4-1DER
- L1-2POR
- D2-2LIN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Sheffield Utd
- L1-2CHA
- W3-2PRE
- W1-0WRE
- D1-1DER
- W1-0BC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Millwall
Absence data is not available for this match.
Sheffield Utd
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Millwall 2Draws 1Sheffield Utd 1
- MIL 1-1 SU
- SU 0-1 MIL
- SU 0-1 MIL
- MIL 0-1 SU
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Millwall
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.66last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.43last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 10
- Shots
- 13.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 10
- Fouls
- 12.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.4last 10
Key players
- L. Dykes2G 2A10 apps
- C. Neghli2G 2A10 apps
- K. Lisbie3G 0A8 apps
Sheffield Utd
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.13last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.19last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 12.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.6last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- Sydie Peck4G 1A10 apps
- P. Bamford3G 0A6 apps
- B. Brereton1G 2A10 apps
Venue
- Venue
- The Den, London
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 20,146
Line movement
Millwall—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Sheffield Utd—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Millwall result here; the model's main factors are Attacking xG form (home) and Away form (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)1.67Away form (away)5.40Recent form (home)2.20What's at stake (away)0.04Expected goals (home)1.53Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)42.8
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.