Monaco vs Angers prediction
Ligue 1Round 13Stade Louis II
Monaco17:00
Sat 5 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
AngersMost likelyMonaco win · 71%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Monaco win
Oddbert gives Monaco a 71% chance of winning.
71%Monaco
18%Draw
11%Angers
In 100 matches like this, Monaco would win about 71. In the other 29 or so, Monaco doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Monaco win 71, Draw 18, Angers win 11.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
71%1MonacoMonaco win
18%XDrawDraw
11%2AngersAngers win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Monaco meet Angers. The model leans toward Monaco, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Monaco (71%), doesn't happen in about 29 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Monaco
- D1-1LM
- W2-0FN
- L1-3PF
- D1-1LIL
- W3-0SF
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Angers
- L0-2NIC
- L0-2LYO
- D0-0LOR
- L2-5MAR
- L1-5SB2
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Monaco
Absence data is not available for this match.
Angers
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Monaco 2Draws 1Angers 1
- MON 2-0 ANG
- ANG 1-1 MON
- ANG 0-2 MON
- MON 0-1 ANG
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Monaco
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.27last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.17last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.2last 10
- Shots
- 11.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 11.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 10
Key players
- Paris Josua Brunner4G 1A8 apps
- E. Diop2G 2A8 apps
- L. Camara1G 1A9 apps
Angers
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.30last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.80last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.0last 10
- Shots
- 12.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.0last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- A. El Ouazzani2G 2A8 apps
- P. Peter2G 0A10 apps
- B. van den Boomen1G 1A10 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Stade Louis II, Monaco
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 18,523
Line movement
Monaco—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Angers—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Monaco, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge1.11Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)376What's at stake (home)0.15Expected goals (home)2.14Away form (away)2.44Defensive xG form (away)2.21
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.