Montpellier W vs FC Fleury 91 W prediction
Feminine Division 1WomenRound 9
Montpellier W17:00
Sat 14 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
FC Fleury 91 WMost likelyFC Fleury 91 W win · 40%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: FC Fleury 91 W win
Oddbert gives FC Fleury 91 W a 40% chance of winning.
29%Montpellier W
31%Draw
40%FC Fleury 91 W
In 100 matches like this, FC Fleury 91 W would win about 40. In the other 60 or so, FC Fleury 91 W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Montpellier W win 29, Draw 31, FC Fleury 91 W win 40.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
29%1Montpellier WMontpellier W win
31%XDrawDraw
40%2FC Fleury 91 WFC Fleury 91 W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for FC Fleury 91 W (40%), doesn't happen in about 60 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Montpellier W
- L0-5PFW
- L2-5LW
- L0-1PSG
- D1-1LHW
- D1-1NW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FC Fleury 91 W
- W2-1SW
- D1-1LW
- D2-2MW
- L1-3PSG
- W2-0SW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Montpellier W
Absence data is not available for this match.
FC Fleury 91 W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Montpellier W 2Draws 1FC Fleury 91 W 3
- FF9 1-0 MW
- MW 1-2 FF9
- FF9 1-2 MW
- MW 0-1 FF9
- FF9 2-3 MW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Montpellier W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.48last 4
- xG against / game
- 1.39last 4
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.4last 9
- Shots
- 8.7last 9
- Shots on target
- 3.8last 9
- Fouls
- 11.6last 8
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 9
Key players
Player data from 8 of 10 matches
- A. Fontaine3G 0A7 apps
- B. Kharafi2G 1A6 apps
- J. Rouquet2G 0A4 apps
FC Fleury 91 W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.04last 4
- xG against / game
- 0.80last 4
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 9
- Shots
- 12.4last 9
- Shots on target
- 5.7last 9
- Fouls
- 9.0last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 8
Key players
Player data from 9 of 10 matches
- L. Ribadeira1G 3A9 apps
- L. Calba3G 0A6 apps
- C. Caputo1G 1A7 apps
Line movement
Montpellier W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
FC Fleury 91 W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a FC Fleury 91 W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (away) and Expected goals (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)1.41Expected goals (home)1.16Goal correlation-0.19
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.