Nantes W vs Lens W prediction
Feminine Division 1WomenRound 9Stade Marcel Saupin
Nantes W19:00
Fri 13 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Lens WMost likelyNantes W win · 61%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Nantes W win
Oddbert gives Nantes W a 61% chance of winning.
61%Nantes W
25%Draw
14%Lens W
In 100 matches like this, Nantes W would win about 61. In the other 39 or so, Nantes W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Nantes W win 61, Draw 25, Lens W win 14.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
61%1Nantes WNantes W win
25%XDrawDraw
14%2Lens WLens W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Nantes W
- D1-1TW
- L0-1MW
- W3-2SW
- W2-0SW
- D1-1MW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Lens W
- L1-7LW
- D1-1FF9
- D0-0LHW
- L1-3SW
- L1-4PFW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Nantes W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Lens W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Nantes W 1Draws 1Lens W 0
- NW 2-2 LW
- LW 3-4 NW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Nantes W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.96last 4
- xG against / game
- 1.16last 4
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.6last 8
- Shots
- 8.6last 8
- Shots on target
- 3.5last 8
- Fouls
- 9.5last 8
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 8
Key players
Player data from 8 of 10 matches
- M. Roth4G 0A8 apps
- A. Connesson1G 2A7 apps
- V. Krug2G 0A8 apps
Lens W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.57last 4
- xG against / game
- 3.07last 4
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.8last 9
- Shots
- 9.3last 9
- Shots on target
- 2.2last 9
- Fouls
- 9.7last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 9
Key players
Player data from 9 of 10 matches
- L. Archier0G 3A9 apps
- L. Notel2G 0A8 apps
- E. Smaali1G 0A9 apps
Weather
- Temperature
- 10°C
- Conditions
- Clear
- Wind
- 16 km/h
Weather data from OpenWeather, used under the Open Database License (ODbL).
Venue
- Venue
- Stade Marcel Saupin, Nantes
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 1,921
Line movement
Nantes W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Lens W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Nantes W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)1.91Expected goals (away)0.84Goal correlation-0.19
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.