Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt prediction
UEFA Champions LeagueRound League Stage - 3
Napoli21:00
Tue 20 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Bodo/GlimtMost likelyNapoli win · 48%
Prediction
48%1Napoli
27%XDraw
25%2Bodo/Glimt
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Napoli | Bodo/Glimt |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Napoli
- W3-0FRO
- D1-1FIO
- W1-0BOL
- L0-1ARS
- L2-3INT
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Bodo/Glimt
- L0-5BM
- W3-0NN
- W3-1NN
- W3-2USG
- D3-3USG
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Napoli
No reported absences.
Bodo/Glimt
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Napoli
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.71last 4
- xG against / game
- 0.87last 4
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.9last 10
- Shots
- 13.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.8last 10
- Fouls
- 8.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.1last 10
Bodo/Glimt
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.63last 5
- xG against / game
- 2.08last 5
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 10 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.2last 10
- Shots
- 10.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.1last 10
- Fouls
- 10.2last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Line movement
Napoli—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Bodo/Glimt—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Napoli result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Attacking xG form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (away)5.90Attacking xG form (home)4.99Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)132Pi-rating edge0.36What's at stake (home)0.00Rest-days edge-30.0
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.