NEC Nijmegen vs Rennes prediction
UEFA Europa LeagueRound League Stage - 5
NEC Nijmegen21:00
Thu 26 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
RennesMost likelyRennes win · 49%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Rennes win
Oddbert gives Rennes a 49% chance of winning.
31%NEC Nijmegen
20%Draw
49%Rennes
In 100 matches like this, Rennes would win about 49. In the other 51 or so, Rennes doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: NEC Nijmegen win 31, Draw 20, Rennes win 49.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
31%1NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen win
20%XDrawDraw
49%2RennesRennes win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
NEC Nijmegen meet Rennes. The model leans toward Rennes, shaped mainly by Recent form (away) and Recent form (home). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Rennes (49%), doesn't happen in about 51 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
NEC Nijmegen
- W3-2UTR
- W3-1ON
- L0-1HEE
- D2-2GRO
- W4-2DZ
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Rennes
- L1-2LIL
- D0-0OP
- L2-5NIC
- W3-0STR
- D2-2JUV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
NEC Nijmegen
Absence data is not available for this match.
Rennes
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
NEC Nijmegen
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.71last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.58last 9
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.2last 10
- Shots
- 17.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.7last 10
- Fouls
- 12.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 10
Key players
- T. Chery3G 2A9 apps
- B. Linssen4G 0A10 apps
- Clement Bischoff3G 1A8 apps
Rennes
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.84last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.83last 9
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.5last 10
- Shots
- 16.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.1last 10
- Fouls
- 11.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
Key players
- B. Dia6G 0A10 apps
- E. Lepaul4G 0A5 apps
- S. Szymański3G 0A8 apps
Line movement
NEC Nijmegen—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Rennes—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Rennes, shaped mainly by Recent form (away) and Recent form (home). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Recent form (away)2.90Home advantage (team-tuned)19.7Recent form (home)7.25What's at stake (home)0.00Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-46.6What's at stake (away)0.00
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.