NEC Nijmegen vs Twente prediction
EredivisieRound 14Goffertstadion
NEC Nijmegen20:00
Sun 29 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
TwenteMost likelyTwente win · 61%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Twente win
Oddbert gives Twente a 61% chance of winning.
15%NEC Nijmegen
24%Draw
61%Twente
In 100 matches like this, Twente would win about 61. In the other 39 or so, Twente doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: NEC Nijmegen win 15, Draw 24, Twente win 61.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
15%1NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen win
24%XDrawDraw
61%2TwenteTwente win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Twente (61%), doesn't happen in about 39 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
NEC Nijmegen
- W3-2UTR
- W3-1ON
- L0-1HEE
- D2-2GRO
- W4-2DZ
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Twente
- D2-2AJA
- W3-1PAF
- W9-0EXC
- W2-0AA
- W4-1LRI
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
NEC Nijmegen
Absence data is not available for this match.
Twente
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
NEC Nijmegen 0Draws 2Twente 3
- TWE 1-1 NN
- NN 3-3 TWE
- TWE 3-2 NN
- TWE 2-0 NN
- NN 1-2 TWE
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
NEC Nijmegen
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.71last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.58last 9
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.2last 10
- Shots
- 17.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.7last 10
- Fouls
- 12.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 10
Key players
- T. Chery3G 2A9 apps
- B. Linssen4G 0A10 apps
- Clement Bischoff3G 1A8 apps
Twente
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.75last 10
- xG against / game
- 0.69last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 7.6last 10
- Shots
- 21.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 7.6last 10
- Fouls
- 11.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 10
Key players
- W. Weghorst8G 2A10 apps
- S. Ørjasæter2G 5A9 apps
- D. Weidmann3G 3A9 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 12,540
Line movement
NEC Nijmegen—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Twente—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Twente result here; the model's main factors are Attacking xG form (away) and Pi-rating edge. The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (away)3.56Pi-rating edge-0.39What's at stake (away)0.09Attacking xG form (home)1.61Home advantage (team-tuned)10.5Recent form (away)8.11
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.