NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Kansas City W prediction
NWSL WomenRound Semi-finals
NJ/NY Gotham FC W21:00
Sun 15 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Kansas City WMost likelyNJ/NY Gotham FC W win · 38%
Best price2.45 Betfair
Oddbert's view
Most likely: NJ/NY Gotham FC W win
Oddbert gives NJ/NY Gotham FC W a 38% chance of winning.
38%NJ/NY Gotham FC W
28%Draw
34%Kansas City W
In 100 matches like this, NJ/NY Gotham FC W would win about 38. In the other 62 or so, NJ/NY Gotham FC W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: NJ/NY Gotham FC W win 38, Draw 28, Kansas City W win 34.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
38%1NJ/NY Gotham FC WNJ/NY Gotham FC W winmarket 37%
28%XDrawDrawmarket 29%
34%2Kansas City WKansas City W winmarket 34%
Our model vs market
NJ/NY Gotham FC W +0.5 ppDraw -0.3 ppKansas City W -0.2 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (median of 5 books) + model lean (max ±15 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | NJ/NY Gotham FC W | Drawpays 3% more than the typical book | Kansas City W |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.45best | 3.10best | 2.63best |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — NJ/NY Gotham FC W at 2.45 (Betfair).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
Not sized — the model behind this prediction has not beaten the closing market out-of-time (see Transparency). We don't size stakes off an edge we don't claim to have.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
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Even the most likely result, a win for NJ/NY Gotham FC W (38%), doesn't happen in about 62 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
- W1-0SRF
- W2-0URW
- W2-1OPW
- L0-1WSW
- D1-1ACW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Kansas City W
- W1-0ACW
- W2-0RLW
- W2-1WSW
- W2-0URW
- W5-1BFW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Kansas City W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
NJ/NY Gotham FC W 2Draws 3Kansas City W 4
- NGF 2-1 KCW
- KCW 2-1 NGF
- KCW 1-2 NGF
- KCW 2-0 NGF
- NGF 1-2 KCW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.14last 5
- xG against / game
- 1.25last 5
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.8last 10
- Shots
- 9.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.6last 10
- Fouls
- 9.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.1last 8
Key players
- Jaedyn Shaw6G 1A8 apps
- Guro Reiten2G 2A10 apps
- Sam Kerr1G 3A10 apps
Kansas City W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.33last 5
- xG against / game
- 1.03last 5
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 7.2last 10
- Shots
- 15.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.9last 10
- Fouls
- 7.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.0last 9
Key players
- Haley Hopkins7G 3A10 apps
- Temwa Chawinga3G 2A8 apps
- Vanessa DiBernardo1G 4A10 apps
Line movement
NJ/NY Gotham FC W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Kansas City W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a NJ/NY Gotham FC W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)1.07Expected goals (away)0.93Goal correlation0.15
This is a market-anchored baseline, not our full model: the forecast is mostly the bookmakers' price with the margin removed, plus a small share from our own simple model. The factors above describe that share only. A baseline claims no edge over the market.