Norrköping W vs AIK W prediction
DamallsvenskanWomenRound 26
Norrköping W14:00
Sun 15 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
AIK WMost likelyAIK W win · 45%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: AIK W win
Oddbert gives AIK W a 45% chance of winning.
31%Norrköping W
24%Draw
45%AIK W
In 100 matches like this, AIK W would win about 45. In the other 55 or so, AIK W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Norrköping W win 31, Draw 24, AIK W win 45.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
31%1Norrköping WNorrköping W winmarket 31%
24%XDrawDrawmarket 25%
45%2AIK WAIK W winmarket 44%
Our model vs market
Norrköping W +0.3 ppDraw -0.4 ppAIK W +0.1 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (1 book's price) + model lean (max ±15 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for AIK W (45%), doesn't happen in about 55 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Norrköping W
- W1-0VW
- D1-1MFW
- W5-0UW
- W2-1EUW
- D1-1PW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
AIK W
- W8-2UW
- W5-2BW
- W2-0RW
- L2-3MFW
- L1-2DW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Norrköping W
Absence data is not available for this match.
AIK W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Norrköping W 3Draws 0AIK W 2
- AW 1-0 NW
- AW 1-2 NW
- NW 1-0 AW
- NW 2-3 AW
- AW 2-3 NW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Norrköping W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.8last 9
- Shots
- 6.9last 9
- Shots on target
- 3.4last 9
- Fouls
- —last 0
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 9
AIK W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.3last 10
- Shots
- 13.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.4last 10
- Fouls
- —last 0
- Yellow cards
- 0.8last 10
Line movement
Norrköping W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
AIK W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a AIK W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (away) and Expected goals (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)1.56Expected goals (home)1.29Goal correlation0.12
This is a market-anchored baseline, not our full model: the forecast is mostly the bookmakers' price with the margin removed, plus a small share from our own simple model. The factors above describe that share only. A baseline claims no edge over the market.