Norwich vs QPR prediction
ChampionshipRound 17
Norwich20:45
Tue 24 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
QPRMost likelyNorwich win · 46%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Norwich win
Oddbert gives Norwich a 46% chance of winning.
46%Norwich
22%Draw
32%QPR
In 100 matches like this, Norwich would win about 46. In the other 54 or so, Norwich doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Norwich win 46, Draw 22, QPR win 32.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
46%1NorwichNorwich win
22%XDrawDraw
32%2QPRQPR win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Norwich (46%), doesn't happen in about 54 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Norwich
- W5-0BC
- W4-0DER
- W3-2WAT
- W3-1CHA
- L0-1POR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
QPR
- W2-1LIN
- D1-1BUR
- L1-4SOU
- W5-0SWA
- L0-3BIR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Norwich
Absence data is not available for this match.
QPR
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Norwich 2Draws 1QPR 1
- QPR 1-2 NOR
- NOR 3-1 QPR
- NOR 1-1 QPR
- QPR 3-0 NOR
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Norwich
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.33last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.52last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.7last 10
- Shots
- 13.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.1last 10
- Fouls
- 10.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- P. Maghoma4G 2A9 apps
- M. Kvistgaarden2G 4A8 apps
- J. Makama3G 0A10 apps
QPR
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.58last 10
- xG against / game
- 0.97last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.5last 10
- Shots
- 14.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.2last 10
- Fouls
- 9.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.4last 10
Key players
- R. Kone5G 1A7 apps
- N. Madsen2G 1A5 apps
- P. Smyth2G 1A10 apps
Line movement
Norwich—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
QPR—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Norwich result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (away) and Pi-rating edge. The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)1.30Pi-rating edge0.34What's at stake (home)0.08Home advantage (team-tuned)15.2Recent form (home)8.39Defensive xG form (away)0.81
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.