Odense vs Brondby prediction
SuperligaRound 11Nature Energy Park
Odense16:00
Sun 18 Oct
Prediction T-24h
BrondbyMost likelyBrondby win · 41%
Best price2.18 Betano
Prediction
32%1Odensemarket 31%
27%XDrawmarket 25%
41%2Brondbymarket 44%
Odense+1.7 ppDraw+1.5 ppBrondby-3.1 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Odensepays 5% more than the typical book | Drawpays 4% more than the typical book | Brondbypays 2% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.18best |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.80best | 2.10 |
| Betvictor | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 3.02 | 3.64 | 2.13 |
| Onexbet | 3.02 | 3.64 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.14best | 3.69 | 2.17 |
| Sbo | 2.80 | 3.28 | 2.05 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Brondby at 2.18 (Betano).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Odense
- D0-0FN
- D1-1FM
- W2-1RF
- L0-5FC
- D1-1LYN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Brondby
- W5-2LYN
- L0-1FC
- L1-4FM
- L0-3RF
- L1-3FN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Odense
No reported absences.
Brondby
No reported absences.
Head to head
Odense 0Draws 0Brondby 2
- ODE 1-4 BRO
- BRO 5-1 ODE
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Odense
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.43last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.86last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.4last 10
- Shots
- 14.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 10
- Fouls
- 13.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 10
Brondby
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.32last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.46last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.3last 10
- Shots
- 15.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.8last 10
- Fouls
- 11.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Venue
- Venue
- Nature Energy Park, Odense
Line movement
Odense—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Brondby—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Brondby result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and What's at stake (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-5.83What's at stake (away)0.08Pi-rating edge-0.29Defensive xG form (home)2.27Rest-days edge1.88Attacking xG form (home)2.54
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.