Odense vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction
SuperligaRound 16Odense Stadium
Odense19:00
Mon 30 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
FC NordsjaellandMost likelyFC Nordsjaelland win · 41%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: FC Nordsjaelland win
Oddbert gives FC Nordsjaelland a 41% chance of winning.
38%Odense
21%Draw
41%FC Nordsjaelland
In 100 matches like this, FC Nordsjaelland would win about 41. In the other 59 or so, FC Nordsjaelland doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Odense win 38, Draw 21, FC Nordsjaelland win 41.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
38%1OdenseOdense win
21%XDrawDraw
41%2FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Odense meet FC Nordsjaelland. The model leans only slightly toward FC Nordsjaelland in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Home advantage (team-tuned). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for FC Nordsjaelland (41%), doesn't happen in about 59 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Odense
- L1-2VIB
- W4-1SIL
- D1-1FC
- W2-1BRO
- D0-0FN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FC Nordsjaelland
- W6-1RF
- L0-2MON
- L2-3FM
- D1-1SIL
- D2-2CS
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Odense
Absence data is not available for this match.
FC Nordsjaelland
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Odense 1Draws 1FC Nordsjaelland 1
- FN 0-0 ODE
- FN 2-4 ODE
- ODE 1-2 FN
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Odense
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.21last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.91last 9
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 14.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.8last 10
- Fouls
- 13.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 10
Key players
- T. Keskinen1G 5A10 apps
- J. Arp4G 0A9 apps
- N. Ganaus3G 0A10 apps
FC Nordsjaelland
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.81last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.38last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 13.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.8last 10
- Fouls
- 10.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Key players
- A. Lind5G 3A9 apps
- Ibrahim Adel5G 2A10 apps
- R. Norheim1G 3A10 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Odense Stadium, Odense
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 15,790
Line movement
Odense—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
FC Nordsjaelland—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward FC Nordsjaelland in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Home advantage (team-tuned). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-28.5Expected goals (home)1.24Pi-rating edge-0.20Attacking xG form (home)0.98Attacking xG form (away)1.76What's at stake (home)0.02
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.