Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan prediction
UEFA Europa LeagueRound League Stage - 5
Olympiakos Piraeus18:45
Thu 26 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
AC MilanMost likelyOlympiakos Piraeus win · 44%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Olympiakos Piraeus win
Oddbert gives Olympiakos Piraeus a 44% chance of winning.
44%Olympiakos Piraeus
23%Draw
33%AC Milan
In 100 matches like this, Olympiakos Piraeus would win about 44. In the other 56 or so, Olympiakos Piraeus doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Olympiakos Piraeus win 44, Draw 23, AC Milan win 33.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
44%1Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus win
23%XDrawDraw
33%2AC MilanAC Milan win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Olympiakos Piraeus meet AC Milan. The model leans only slightly toward Olympiakos Piraeus in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and What's at stake (away). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Olympiakos Piraeus (44%), doesn't happen in about 56 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Olympiakos Piraeus
- D0-0REN
- W1-0SP
- W1-0MAR
- W2-1JAG
- L1-2NN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
AC Milan
- W2-1GEN
- L0-2FT
- W3-1INT
- L2-4BOL
- W2-0UDI
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Olympiakos Piraeus
Absence data is not available for this match.
AC Milan
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.14last 8
- xG against / game
- 1.23last 8
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 2 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.4last 10
- Shots
- 12.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.0last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
Key players
- S. Hezze2G 0A9 apps
- A. González2G 0A4 apps
- Mehdi Taremi1G 1A4 apps
AC Milan
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.74last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.57last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.6last 10
- Shots
- 10.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.4last 10
- Fouls
- 10.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- A. Rabiot4G 3A8 apps
- A. Cissè6G 0A8 apps
- Diego Moreira2G 3A7 apps
Line movement
Olympiakos Piraeus—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
AC Milan—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Olympiakos Piraeus in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and What's at stake (away). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge-0.25What's at stake (away)0.00Expected goals (away)0.26Rest-days edge2.84Expected goals (home)0.81What's at stake (home)0.00
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.