Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica prediction
UEFA Europa LeagueRound League Stage - 3
Omonia Nicosia21:00
Thu 22 Oct
Prediction T-24h
BenficaMost likelyBenfica win · 48%
Prediction
25%1Omonia Nicosia
27%XDraw
48%2Benfica
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 15 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Omonia Nicosia
- W1-0CV
- W4-2ST
- L0-1ST
- W1-0LRI
- D1-1LRI
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Benfica
- W2-0VS
- L1-3FP
- W2-0AM
- W3-1GV
- W4-0MOR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Omonia Nicosia
No reported absences.
Benfica
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Omonia Nicosia
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.11last 4
- xG against / game
- 1.11last 4
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 2 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.4last 8
- Shots
- 12.1last 7
- Shots on target
- 3.6last 9
- Fouls
- 9.3last 7
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 9
Benfica
Goals
- Scored / game
- 3.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.05last 8
- xG against / game
- 0.61last 8
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.9last 10
- Shots
- 18.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.9last 10
- Fouls
- 11.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 10
Key players
- Georgiy Sudakov1G 0A1 apps
- Samuel Dahl1G 0A1 apps
- C. Echeverri0G 1A1 apps
Line movement
Omonia Nicosia—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Benfica—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Benfica result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Attacking xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge-0.89Attacking xG form (away)2.04What's at stake (home)0.07Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-154Rest-days edge25.0What's at stake (away)0.19
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.