Osasuna vs Athletic Club prediction
La LigaRound 12
Osasuna17:00
Sun 8 Nov
Prediction T-24h
Athletic ClubMost likelyOsasuna win · 41%
Prediction
41%1Osasuna
28%XDraw
31%2Athletic Club
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Osasuna
- L2-5RB
- D1-1RV
- L0-4AM
- L0-2ESP
- L2-5ALA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Athletic Club
- D0-0ALA
- D1-1ELC
- W3-0AM
- W2-0CV
- L0-2BAR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Osasuna
No reported absences.
Athletic Club
No reported absences.
Head to head
Osasuna 0Draws 2Athletic Club 2
- AC 1-0 OSA
- OSA 1-1 AC
- AC 0-0 OSA
- OSA 1-2 AC
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Osasuna
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.25last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.36last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.8last 10
- Shots
- 11.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.5last 10
- Fouls
- 14.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.5last 10
Key players
- Raúl García de Haro1G 0A1 apps
- Ante Budimir1G 0A1 apps
- Rubén García0G 1A1 apps
Athletic Club
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.48last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.13last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.5last 10
- Shots
- 15.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.7last 10
- Fouls
- 12.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 9
Line movement
Osasuna—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Athletic Club—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Osasuna result here, shaped mainly by Rest-days edge and Home advantage (team-tuned). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Rest-days edge-22.1Home advantage (team-tuned)85.0Goal drought (away)1.00Defensive xG form (home)2.10Pi-rating edge-0.00Recent form (home)0.80
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.