Paris FC vs Angers prediction
Ligue 1Round 11Stade Jean Bouin
Paris FC15:00
Sun 22 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
AngersMost likelyParis FC win · 67%
Best price1.42 Betano
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Paris FC win
Oddbert gives Paris FC a 67% chance of winning.
67%Paris FC
20%Draw
13%Angers
In 100 matches like this, Paris FC would win about 67. In the other 33 or so, Paris FC doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Paris FC win 67, Draw 20, Angers win 13.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
67%1Paris FCParis FC winmarket 70%
20%XDrawDrawmarket 18%
13%2AngersAngers winmarket 12%
Our model vs market
Paris FC -3.0 ppDraw +2.0 ppAngers +1.0 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (median of 6 books) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Paris FC meet Angers. Our forecast (the market price with a small adjustment from our model) leans toward Paris FC; the model's main factors are Home advantage (team-tuned) and Pi-rating edge. See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | Paris FCpays 2% more than the typical book | Drawpays 5% more than the typical book | Angerspays 4% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.42best | 4.85 | 7.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 5.10best | 7.80best |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Paris FC at 1.42 (Betano).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
Not sized — the model behind this prediction has not beaten the closing market out-of-time (see Transparency). We don't size stakes off an edge we don't claim to have.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
- Only bookmakers with a Danish licence may offer betting in Denmark.
- You must be 18+ and register with MitID.
- You must set a deposit limit. Choose an amount you can afford to lose.
Even the most likely result, a win for Paris FC (67%), doesn't happen in about 33 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Paris FC
- W1-0AUX
- W3-1MON
- L1-2LEN
- W4-3REN
- L0-1LOR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Angers
- L0-2NIC
- L0-2LYO
- D0-0LOR
- L2-5MAR
- L1-5SB2
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Paris FC
Absence data is not available for this match.
Angers
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Paris FC 0Draws 1Angers 1
- PF 0-0 ANG
- ANG 1-0 PF
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Paris FC
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.69last 10
- xG against / game
- 0.95last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.6last 10
- Shots
- 13.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 10
- Fouls
- 13.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 10
Key players
- L. Sinayoko9G 5A10 apps
- P. Pagis2G 2A10 apps
- M. Lopez2G 2A10 apps
Angers
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.30last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.80last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.0last 10
- Shots
- 12.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.0last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- A. El Ouazzani2G 2A8 apps
- P. Peter2G 0A10 apps
- B. van den Boomen1G 1A10 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
- Surface
- Artificial turf
- Capacity
- 20,000
Line movement
Paris FC—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Angers—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast (the market price with a small adjustment from our model) leans toward Paris FC; the model's main factors are Home advantage (team-tuned) and Pi-rating edge. This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Home advantage (team-tuned)112Pi-rating edge0.77Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)380Home form (home)11.3What's at stake (away)0.16Expected goals (home)2.00
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.