PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag prediction
EredivisieRound 11
PEC Zwolle12:15
Sun 1 Nov
Prediction T-24h
ADO Den HaagMost likelyPEC Zwolle win · 46%
Prediction
46%1PEC Zwolle
28%XDraw
26%2ADO Den Haag
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | PEC Zwolle | ADO Den Haag |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
PEC Zwolle
- L0-1CAM
- L0-3GRO
- L0-7FEY
- D2-2SR
- L1-3NN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
ADO Den Haag
- D2-2TEL
- D1-1CAM
- L0-2TWE
- L2-3FS
- D2-2FEY
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
PEC Zwolle
No reported absences.
ADO Den Haag
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
PEC Zwolle
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.93last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.95last 9
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.1last 10
- Shots
- 10.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.4last 10
- Fouls
- 11.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 7
ADO Den Haag
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.78last 7
- xG against / game
- 2.21last 7
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.6last 10
- Shots
- 11.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.2last 10
- Fouls
- 14.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Line movement
PEC Zwolle—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
ADO Den Haag—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a PEC Zwolle result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Recent form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (away)2.46Recent form (away)2.10Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)105Attacking xG form (away)2.14Home advantage (team-tuned)41.3What's at stake (home)0.23
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.