PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles prediction
EredivisieRound 9
PEC Zwolle12:15
Sun 18 Oct
Prediction T-24h
GO Ahead EaglesMost likelyGO Ahead Eagles win · 44%
Best price2.10 Betano
Prediction
30%1PEC Zwollemarket 29%
26%XDrawmarket 24%
44%2GO Ahead Eaglesmarket 47%
PEC Zwolle+0.8 ppDraw+2.2 ppGO Ahead Eagles-3.0 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | PEC Zwollepays 10% more than the typical book | Drawpays 3% more than the typical book | GO Ahead Eaglespays 2% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.10best |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.05 |
| Betvictor | 3.13 | 3.90 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 3.18 | 3.80 | 2.01 |
| Onexbet | 3.28 | 3.92best | 2.07 |
| Pinnacle | 3.43best | 3.65 | 2.06 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — GO Ahead Eagles at 2.10 (Betano).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
PEC Zwolle
- L0-1CAM
- L0-3GRO
- L0-7FEY
- D2-2SR
- L1-3NN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
GO Ahead Eagles
- D3-3SR
- D1-1NN
- D1-1GRO
- D3-3UTR
- L2-5AA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
PEC Zwolle
No reported absences.
GO Ahead Eagles
No reported absences.
Head to head
PEC Zwolle 0Draws 2GO Ahead Eagles 2
- GAE 5-0 PZ
- PZ 0-2 GAE
- PZ 1-1 GAE
- GAE 2-2 PZ
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
PEC Zwolle
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.93last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.95last 9
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.1last 10
- Shots
- 10.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.4last 10
- Fouls
- 11.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 7
GO Ahead Eagles
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.60last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.97last 9
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 10 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.3last 10
- Shots
- 13.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.5last 10
- Fouls
- 7.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 7
Line movement
PEC Zwolle—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
GO Ahead Eagles—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a GO Ahead Eagles result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Pi-rating edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-61.8Pi-rating edge-0.37Goal drought (home)3.00Rest-days edge-0.92Defensive xG form (away)1.61Attacking xG form (away)1.86
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.