Plzen vs Benfica prediction
UEFA Europa LeagueRound League Stage - 5
Plzen18:45
Thu 26 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
BenficaMost likelyBenfica win · 66%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Benfica win
Oddbert gives Benfica a 66% chance of winning.
11%Plzen
23%Draw
66%Benfica
In 100 matches like this, Benfica would win about 66. In the other 34 or so, Benfica doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Plzen win 11, Draw 23, Benfica win 66.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
11%1PlzenPlzen win
23%XDrawDraw
66%2BenficaBenfica win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
Plzen meet Benfica. The model leans toward Benfica, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and League id. See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Benfica (66%), doesn't happen in about 34 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Plzen
- W1-0LIL
- L1-2LS
- L1-2FT
- L0-3USG
- W5-1FCZ
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Benfica
- W3-2EST
- W3-1LP
- W1-0ALV
- W2-1SC
- W4-1ON
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Plzen
Absence data is not available for this match.
Benfica
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Plzen
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.10last 7
- xG against / game
- 1.34last 7
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.4last 10
- Shots
- 17.7last 9
- Shots on target
- 5.6last 10
- Fouls
- 14.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 10
Key players
Player data from 8 of 10 matches
- D. Višinský2G 0A7 apps
- L. Červ1G 1A8 apps
- Matěj Valenta0G 2A4 apps
Benfica
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.95last 10
- xG against / game
- 0.99last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.9last 10
- Shots
- 17.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.7last 10
- Fouls
- 11.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.9last 10
Key players
- G. Prestianni5G 4A10 apps
- V. Pavlidis7G 1A9 apps
- H. Sudakov2G 1A8 apps
Line movement
Plzen—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Benfica—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Benfica, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and League id. This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge-1.09League id3.00Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-263Attacking xG form (home)5.21Rest-days edge3.11Expected goals (away)2.36
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.