Plzen vs Levski Sofia prediction
UEFA Europa LeagueRound League Stage - 3
Plzen21:00
Thu 22 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Levski SofiaMost likelyPlzen win · 49%
Prediction
49%1Plzen
33%XDraw
18%2Levski Sofia
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 15 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Plzen
- L0-3USG
- W5-1FCZ
- L0-3FCZ
- D1-1PAN
- D2-2PAN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Levski Sofia
- L0-1RBS
- L0-4AAF
- D0-0AAF
- W1-0KA
- W1-0KA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Plzen
No reported absences.
Levski Sofia
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Plzen
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.84last 7
- xG against / game
- 1.21last 7
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 17.0last 9
- Shots on target
- 5.1last 10
- Fouls
- 15.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Levski Sofia
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.5last 10
- Shots
- 10.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.1last 10
- Fouls
- 10.8last 5
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 9
Line movement
Plzen—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Levski Sofia—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Plzen result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Defensive xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)4.88Defensive xG form (away)4.91Attacking xG form (away)3.45Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)227Defensive xG form (home)3.43Away form (away)4.43
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.