Preston vs Norwich prediction
ChampionshipRound 18Deepdale Stadium
Preston13:30
Sat 28 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
NorwichMost likelyNorwich win · 66%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Norwich win
Oddbert gives Norwich a 66% chance of winning.
11%Preston
23%Draw
66%Norwich
In 100 matches like this, Norwich would win about 66. In the other 34 or so, Norwich doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Preston win 11, Draw 23, Norwich win 66.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
11%1PrestonPreston win
23%XDrawDraw
66%2NorwichNorwich win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Norwich (66%), doesn't happen in about 34 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Preston
- W1-0SOU
- L2-3SU
- L0-2SC
- D1-1WB
- L1-4WRE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Norwich
- W5-0BC
- W4-0DER
- W3-2WAT
- W3-1CHA
- L0-1POR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Preston
Absence data is not available for this match.
Norwich
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Preston 1Draws 2Norwich 1
- NOR 2-0 PRE
- PRE 1-1 NOR
- NOR 0-1 PRE
- PRE 2-2 NOR
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Preston
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.06last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.77last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 11.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 2.3last 10
- Fouls
- 12.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- C. Lang2G 0A10 apps
- J. Kenny2G 0A7 apps
- L. Leroy1G 1A9 apps
Norwich
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.33last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.52last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.7last 10
- Shots
- 13.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.1last 10
- Fouls
- 10.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- P. Maghoma4G 2A9 apps
- M. Kvistgaarden2G 4A8 apps
- J. Makama3G 0A10 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Deepdale Stadium, Preston
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 23,408
Line movement
Preston—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Norwich—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Norwich result here; the model's main factors are Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Attacking xG form (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-189Attacking xG form (away)1.61Attacking xG form (home)0.97Pi-rating edge-0.54Recent form (away)8.39What's at stake (home)0.10
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.