Preston vs Southampton prediction
ChampionshipRound 15Deepdale
Preston16:00
Sat 7 Nov
Prediction T-24h
SouthamptonMost likelySouthampton win · 58%
Prediction
20%1Preston
22%XDraw
58%2Southampton
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Preston
- L0-4BIR
- L0-1MIL
- D2-2QPR
- L0-1LIN
- L1-2WAT
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Southampton
- W1-0POR
- L1-2WRE
- W4-1BC
- W3-1SWA
- D1-1LIN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Preston
No reported absences.
Southampton
No reported absences.
Head to head
Preston 1Draws 0Southampton 1
- PRE 1-3 SOU
- SOU 0-2 PRE
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Preston
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.29last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.41last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.9last 10
- Shots
- 12.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 2.7last 10
- Fouls
- 11.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 10
Southampton
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.80last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.27last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 9 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.8last 10
- Shots
- 15.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 10
- Fouls
- 9.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 10
Venue
- Venue
- Deepdale, Preston
Line movement
Preston—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Southampton—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Southampton result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Rest-days edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-270Rest-days edge-2.33Pi-rating edge-0.55Attacking xG form (away)1.47Home advantage (team-tuned)8.55Recent form (home)0.63
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.