PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord prediction
EredivisieRound 10Philips Stadion
PSV Eindhoven14:30
Sun 25 Oct
Prediction T-24h
FeyenoordMost likelyPSV Eindhoven win · 49%
Best price1.93 Onexbet
Prediction
48%1PSV Eindhovenmarket 51%
25%XDrawmarket 22%
27%2Feyenoordmarket 27%
PSV Eindhoven-2.5 ppDraw+3.0 ppFeyenoord-0.5 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | PSV Eindhovenpays 3% more than the typical book | Drawpays 4% more than the typical book | Feyenoordpays 5% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 4.25 | 3.50best |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 4.15 | 3.34 |
| Onexbet | 1.93best | 4.28best | 3.44 |
| William Hill | 1.83 | 3.80 | 3.25 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — PSV Eindhoven at 1.93 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
PSV Eindhoven
- W2-0HEE
- L2-3TWE
- W4-1SR
- D1-1SD
- W3-1AJA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Feyenoord
- W2-0AA
- W5-0UTR
- W7-0PZ
- L1-5BAR
- W3-1NN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
PSV Eindhoven
No reported absences.
Feyenoord
No reported absences.
Head to head
PSV Eindhoven 4Draws 0Feyenoord 0
- PE 3-0 FEY
- FEY 2-3 PE
- FEY 2-3 PE
- PE 3-0 FEY
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
PSV Eindhoven
Goals
- Scored / game
- 3.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.75last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.40last 9
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 9 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 7.1last 10
- Shots
- 18.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 7.0last 10
- Fouls
- 10.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 10
Feyenoord
Goals
- Scored / game
- 3.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.76last 9
- xG against / game
- 0.79last 9
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.3last 10
- Shots
- 19.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 7.4last 10
- Fouls
- 9.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.1last 7
Venue
- Venue
- Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Line movement
PSV Eindhoven—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Feyenoord—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a PSV Eindhoven result here, shaped mainly by League id and Pi-rating edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
League id88.0Pi-rating edge0.60Attacking xG form (away)2.41Recent form (home)6.59Fixture congestion (away)1.00Rest-days edge0.95
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.