PSV Eindhoven vs GO Ahead Eagles prediction
EredivisieRound 14Philips Stadion
PSV Eindhoven18:45
Sat 28 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
GO Ahead EaglesMost likelyPSV Eindhoven win · 77%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: PSV Eindhoven win
Oddbert gives PSV Eindhoven a 77% chance of winning.
77%PSV Eindhoven
12%Draw
11%GO Ahead Eagles
In 100 matches like this, PSV Eindhoven would win about 77. In the other 23 or so, PSV Eindhoven doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: PSV Eindhoven win 77, Draw 12, GO Ahead Eagles win 11.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
77%1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven win
12%XDrawDraw
11%2GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for PSV Eindhoven (77%), doesn't happen in about 23 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
PSV Eindhoven
- W5-2CAM
- L1-2CBK
- W7-0WI
- D1-1FEY
- W1-0FP
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
GO Ahead Eagles
- W1-0EXC
- L0-4CAM
- W3-2TEL
- L1-4PZ
- D3-3SR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
PSV Eindhoven
Absence data is not available for this match.
GO Ahead Eagles
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
PSV Eindhoven 3Draws 0GO Ahead Eagles 1
- GAE 1-4 PE
- PE 2-1 GAE
- GAE 3-2 PE
- PE 3-0 GAE
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
PSV Eindhoven
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.13last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.67last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.2last 10
- Shots
- 18.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.9last 10
- Fouls
- 11.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 10
Key players
- S. Mijnans8G 2A9 apps
- G. Til6G 1A10 apps
- E. Bajraktarevic0G 5A8 apps
GO Ahead Eagles
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.53last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.36last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 13.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 8.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 0.9last 9
Key players
- S. Tengstedt7G 2A10 apps
- M. Suray3G 2A10 apps
- V. Edvardsen3G 1A10 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 36,500
Line movement
PSV Eindhoven—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
GO Ahead Eagles—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a PSV Eindhoven result here; the model's main factors are Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge1.52Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)339Expected goals (home)3.59Attacking xG form (home)2.32Recent form (away)4.96What's at stake (home)0.14
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.