QPR vs Burnley prediction
ChampionshipRound 14
QPR20:45
Tue 3 Nov
Prediction T-24h
BurnleyMost likelyQPR win · 38%
Prediction
38%1QPR
29%XDraw
33%2Burnley
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
QPR
- D1-1WH
- D2-2PRE
- D1-1WB
- D0-0CHA
- L0-1MID
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Burnley
- D2-2CHA
- W4-0WAT
- D1-1DER
- L1-3SWA
- D1-1WRE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
QPR
No reported absences.
Burnley
No reported absences.
Head to head
QPR 0Draws 1Burnley 1
- QPR 0-5 BUR
- BUR 0-0 QPR
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
QPR
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.47last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.36last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.8last 10
- Shots
- 15.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 9.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
Burnley
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.25last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.60last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 9 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.8last 10
- Shots
- 14.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.2last 10
- Fouls
- 9.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- J. Bruun Larsen1G 0A1 apps
- L. Ramazani1G 0A1 apps
- Igor0G 1A1 apps
Line movement
QPR—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Burnley—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a QPR result here, shaped mainly by What's at stake (home) and Pi-rating edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
What's at stake (home)0.02Pi-rating edge0.05Attacking xG form (home)1.32Recent form (home)2.93Defensive xG form (away)1.69Away form (away)3.49
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.