Skip to content
Oddbert
MatchesAsk OddbertBest PriceSignalsAI BankrollPricing
Log inGet started
  • Matches
  • Ask Oddbert
  • Best Price
  • Signals
  • AI Bankroll
  • Pricing
Get startedLog in
Oddbert

Calibrated football probabilities with a public track record. We never promise guarantees.

Product

  • Matches
  • Transparency
  • Track record & results
  • Kelly calculator

More

  • Method
  • Pricing
  • Prediction archive
  • Edge radar

Legal

  • Privacy policy
  • Terms of service
18+18+ only

Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees.

StopSpilletROFUS

If gambling stops being fun, get help. Gamble responsibly.

Every prediction is logged before kick-off and scored after the final whistle.© 2026 Oddbert. No affiliate links. No betting accepted. · Weather data from OpenWeather (ODbL).

QPR vs Lincoln prediction

ChampionshipChampionship·Round 15
QPRQPR
16:00
Sat 7 Nov
Prediction T-24h
LincolnLincoln

Most likelyQPR win · 44%

PredictionOddsContextMovementDetails

Prediction

44%1QPR
29%XDraw
27%2Lincoln

These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes

Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026

Odds comparison

No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet

We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).

Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.

Stake sizer

No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.

Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.

Match context

Strength-adjusted form

QPR

  1. D↑1-1WH
  2. D↓2-2PRE
  3. D↑1-1WB
  4. D↓0-0CHA
  5. L↑0-1MID

↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent

Lincoln

  1. L↑0-3SU
  2. L↑1-2SWA
  3. W↑1-0BC
  4. W=1-0PRE
  5. D↑1-1SOU

↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent

Injuries & absences

QPR

No reported absences.

Lincoln

No reported absences.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Recent form

Recent form — context only, not a tip.

QPR

Goals

Scored / game
1.1last 10
Conceded / game
1.1last 10
xG for / game
1.47last 10
xG against / game
1.36last 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
BTTS
6 / 10
Over 2.5
5 / 10

Match stats

Corners
5.8last 10
Shots
15.8last 10
Shots on target
5.0last 10
Fouls
9.5last 10
Yellow cards
1.8last 10

Lincoln

Goals

Scored / game
0.8last 9
Conceded / game
1.2last 9
xG for / game
1.40last 9
xG against / game
1.11last 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
BTTS
4 / 9
Over 2.5
4 / 9

Match stats

Corners
3.9last 9
Shots
12.6last 9
Shots on target
3.0last 9
Fouls
14.1last 9
Yellow cards
2.6last 9

Line movement

QPR—

No line movement recorded yet

Draw—

No line movement recorded yet

Lincoln—

No line movement recorded yet

Under the hood

How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.

Why this prediction

ExplanationAI · grounded

The model leans toward a QPR result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Pi-rating edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.

The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.

How we make these predictions
Top model factors
Defensive xG form (away)0.8823%Pi-rating edge-0.0917%Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)11113%What's at stake (home)0.0213%Recent form (home)2.9310%Attacking xG form (away)1.388%

The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.