QPR vs Swansea prediction
ChampionshipRound 12
QPR16:00
Sat 24 Oct
Prediction T-24h
SwanseaMost likelySwansea win · 44%
Prediction
29%1QPR
27%XDraw
44%2Swansea
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | QPR | Swansea |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
QPR
- D1-1WH
- D2-2PRE
- D1-1WB
- D0-0CHA
- L0-1MID
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Swansea
- W2-1NOR
- W2-1LIN
- W3-1BUR
- L1-3SOU
- D0-0WRE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
QPR
No reported absences.
Swansea
No reported absences.
Head to head
QPR 1Draws 0Swansea 3
- QPR 1-2 SWA
- SWA 0-1 QPR
- QPR 1-2 SWA
- SWA 3-0 QPR
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
QPR
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.47last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.36last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.8last 10
- Shots
- 15.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 9.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
Swansea
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.58last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.13last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.7last 10
- Shots
- 12.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.5last 10
- Fouls
- 8.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 9
Line movement
QPR—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Swansea—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Swansea result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and What's at stake (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-107What's at stake (home)0.02Home advantage (team-tuned)15.2What's at stake (away)0.08League id40.0Attacking xG form (away)1.55
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.