Rayo Vallecano vs Levante prediction
La LigaRound 15
Rayo Vallecano17:00
Sun 6 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
LevanteMost likelyRayo Vallecano win · 45%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Rayo Vallecano win
Oddbert gives Rayo Vallecano a 45% chance of winning.
45%Rayo Vallecano
27%Draw
28%Levante
In 100 matches like this, Rayo Vallecano would win about 45. In the other 55 or so, Rayo Vallecano doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Rayo Vallecano win 45, Draw 27, Levante win 28.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Prediction
45%1Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano win
27%XDrawDraw
28%2LevanteLevante win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Match previewSummary
Rayo Vallecano meet Levante. The model leans toward Rayo Vallecano, shaped mainly by What's at stake (away) and What's at stake (home). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
- Only bookmakers with a Danish licence may offer betting in Denmark.
- You must be 18+ and register with MitID.
- You must set a deposit limit. Choose an amount you can afford to lose.
Even the most likely result, a win for Rayo Vallecano (45%), doesn't happen in about 55 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Rayo Vallecano
- L0-1RS
- W3-0CV
- L0-3ELC
- D1-1GET
- D1-1OSA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Levante
- D0-0CV
- L0-2AM
- L1-2RS
- W3-1AC
- D1-1DLC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Rayo Vallecano
Absence data is not available for this match.
Levante
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Rayo Vallecano 1Draws 1Levante 0
- RV 1-1 LEV
- LEV 0-3 RV
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Rayo Vallecano
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.32last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.60last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.6last 10
- Shots
- 15.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 11.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Key players
- Sergio Camello7G 2A10 apps
- Jorge de Frutos2G 2A8 apps
- Álvaro García2G 2A9 apps
Levante
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.26last 10
- xG against / game
- 2.18last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.6last 10
- Shots
- 12.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.6last 10
- Fouls
- 10.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- Brugui5G 1A10 apps
- Iván Romero3G 0A10 apps
- Dela2G 0A8 apps
Line movement
Rayo Vallecano—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Levante—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Rayo Vallecano, shaped mainly by What's at stake (away) and What's at stake (home). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
What's at stake (away)0.11What's at stake (home)0.02Expected goals (home)1.60Goal drought (away)2.00Home form (home)8.44Defensive xG form (home)1.27
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.